Justified true belief theory for intelligence analysis
نویسندگان
چکیده
This article explores how leading theories from a key area of epistemology, the philosophical study knowledge and belief, can support best practice in intelligence analysis. The specifically examines three for establishing justification beliefs: evidentialism, process reliabilism, indefeasibilism, could be utilized practical use consideration these Justified True Belief (JTB) an context offers opportunity adjusting building upon existing recommended methodological approaches, Assessment Competing Hypotheses (ACH).
منابع مشابه
Gettier and Justified True Belief
This report will be divided into three sections. The first will contain a description of the idea of knowledge as justified true belief (JBT) and the Gettier and Gettier-style objections to it. The second will describe a number of attempts to fix the Gettier problem from a variety of angles, and the third will briefly address the broader question of why this subject has proven so seemingly intr...
متن کاملIs knowledge justified true belief?
Is knowledge justified true belief? Most philosophers believe that the answer is clearly ‘no’, as demonstrated by Gettier cases. But Gettier cases don’t obviously refute the traditional view that knowledge is justified true belief (JTB). There are ways of resisting Gettier cases, at least one of which is partly successful. Nevertheless, when properly understood, Gettier cases point to a flaw in...
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Knowledge was traditionally held to be justified true belief. This paper examines the implications of maintaining this view if justication is interpreted algorithmically. It is argued that if we move sufficiently far from the small worlds to which Bayesian decision theory properly applies, we can steer between the rock of fallibilism and the whirlpool of skepticism only by explicitly building i...
متن کاملJustified True Belief Triggers False Recall of "Knowing"
Philosophers traditionally held that knowledge is justified true belief. Gettier (1963) challenged this view with thought experiments in which someone has a justified and true belief, but an element of luck is involved that disqualifies the belief from counting as knowledge. We examined laypeople’s concept of knowledge using a semantic integration paradigm modeled after that of Gentner (1981). ...
متن کاملJustified Belief as Responsible Belief
In what follows, I will be making recommendations for how to understand and distinguish these three concepts. The account I will be developing situates the concept of epistemically rational belief into a well-integrated and philosophically respectable general theory of rationality; it links the concept of warranted belief with the theory of knowledge; and it insists that the concept of justifie...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Intelligence and national security
سال: 2022
ISSN: ['0268-4527', '1743-9019']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/02684527.2022.2076332